Emmy Predictions

So the Emmy's are tonight.  I think that the Emmy Award is the coolest looking award out there:

Anyway, one of the biggest critiques that the Emmy's have is that the same people keep winning.  I see the point, since doing so makes the awards a bit boring.  But at the same time, you don't want to NOT award someone simply because they consistently do good work.

With that said, here are my predictions for the Emmy's.  I'll put who I think will win and who I think should win.  (list via The Internet Movie Database)

Outstanding Comedy Series

Nominees:

"The Big Bang Theory" (2007)

"Curb Your Enthusiasm" (2000)

"Girls" (2012)

"Modern Family" (2009)

"30 Rock" (2006)

"Veep" (2012)

SHOULD WIN - The Big Bang Theory: consistently funny.  Funnier this year than the other shows nominated

WILL WIN - Modern Family:  It is the darling of the Emmy's.

Outstanding Drama Series

Nominees:

"Boardwalk Empire" (2010)

"Breaking Bad" (2008)

"Downton Abbey" (2010)

"Game of Thrones" (2011)

"Homeland" (2011)

"Mad Men" (2007)

SHOULD WIN - Downton Abbey:  I was surprised by how good this show was and how compelling all of the characters are.

WILL WIN - Mad Men:  Also an Emmy Darling

Outstanding Miniseries or Made for Television Movie

Nominees:

"American Horror Story: Asylum" (2011)

Game Change (2012) (TV)

"Hatfields & McCoys" (2012)

Hemingway & Gellhorn (2012) (TV)

"Luther" (2010)

"Sherlock" (2010)

SHOULD WIN - Sherlock:  Amazing show.  Fantastic in every way.

WILL WIN - Game Change:  Hollywood hates Sarah Palin.

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series

Nominees:

Alec Baldwin for "30 Rock" (2006)

Don Cheadle for "House of Lies" (2012)

Louis C.K. for "Louie" (2010)

Jon Cryer for "Two and a Half Men" (2003)

Larry David for "Curb Your Enthusiasm" (2000)

Jim Parsons for "The Big Bang Theory" (2007)

SHOULD WIN - Jim Parsons:  Consistently funny

WILL WIN - Jim Parsons:  Consistently funny

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series

Nominees:

Hugh Bonneville for "Downton Abbey" (2010)

Steve Buscemi for "Boardwalk Empire" (2010)

Bryan Cranston for "Breaking Bad" (2008)

Michael C. Hall for "Dexter" (2006)

Jon Hamm for "Mad Men" (2007)

Damian Lewis for "Homeland" (2011)

SHOULD WIN - Hugh Bonneville: He is flawed but benevolent and wears responsibility like a badge of honor.

WILL WIN - Steve Buscemi:  Well liked by voters

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Miniseries or Movie

Nominees:

Kevin Costner for "Hatfields & McCoys" (2012)

Benedict Cumberbatch for "Sherlock" (2010)

Idris Elba for "Luther" (2010)

Woody Harrelson for Game Change (2012) (TV)

Clive Owen for Hemingway & Gellhorn (2012) (TV)

Bill Paxton for "Hatfields & McCoys" (2012)

SHOULD WIN - Benedict Cumberbatch: Fantastic performance!

WILL WIN - Woody Harrelson: Hollywood hates Sarah Palin

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series

Nominees:

Zooey Deschanel for "New Girl" (2011)

Lena Dunham for "Girls" (2012)

Edie Falco for "Nurse Jackie" (2009)

Tina Fey for "30 Rock" (2006)

Julia Louis-Dreyfus for "Veep" (2012)

Melissa McCarthy for "Mike & Molly" (2010)

Amy Poehler for "Parks and Recreation" (2009)

SHOULD WIN - Amy Poehler : She is way beyond due for her work on the show.

WILL WIN - Lena Dunham: She is an independent darling and loved by the critics

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series

Nominees:

Kathy Bates for "Harry's Law" (2011)

Glenn Close for "Damages" (2007)

Claire Danes for "Homeland" (2011)

Michelle Dockery for "Downton Abbey" (2010)

Julianna Margulies for "The Good Wife" (2009)

Elisabeth Moss for "Mad Men" (2007)

SHOULD WIN - Michelle Dockery: She never makes her character too sympathetic, yet you feel an affection for her.

WILL WIN - Claire Danes- critically hailed

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Miniseries or Movie

Nominees:

Connie Britton for "American Horror Story: Asylum" (2011)

Ashley Judd for "Missing" (2012)

Nicole Kidman for Hemingway & Gellhorn (2012) (TV)

Julianne Moore for Game Change (2012) (TV)

Emma Thompson for The Song of Lunch (2010) (TV)

SHOULD WIN - Haven't seen any of them

WILL WIN -Julianne Moore - Hollywood hates Sarah Palin

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series

Nominees:

Ty Burrell for "Modern Family" (2009)

Jesse Tyler Ferguson for "Modern Family" (2009)

Max Greenfield for "New Girl" (2011)

Bill Hader for "Saturday Night Live" (1975)

Ed O'Neill for "Modern Family" (2009)

Eric Stonestreet for "Modern Family" (2009)

SHOULD WIN - Ty Burrell: Funniest person nominated (no offense Ed O'Neill)

WILL WIN - Jesse Tyler Ferguson: just a guess, but Stonestreet and Burrell have already won

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series

Nominees:

Jim Carter for "Downton Abbey" (2010)

Brendan Coyle for "Downton Abbey" (2010)

Peter Dinklage for "Game of Thrones" (2011)

Giancarlo Esposito for "Breaking Bad" (2008)

Jared Harris for "Mad Men" (2007)

Aaron Paul for "Breaking Bad" (2008)

SHOULD WIN - Peter Dinklage:  Best part of Game of Thrones

WILL WIN - Peter Dinklage:  Best part of Game of Thrones

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Miniseries or Movie

Nominees:

Tom Berenger for "Hatfields & McCoys" (2012)

Martin Freeman for "Sherlock" (2010)

Ed Harris for Game Change (2012) (TV)

Denis O'Hare for "American Horror Story: Asylum" (2011)

David Strathairn for Hemingway & Gellhorn (2012) (TV)

SHOULD WIN - Martin Freeman: Great Performance

WILL WIN - Ed Harris - Hollywood hates Sarah Palin

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series

Nominees:

Mayim Bialik for "The Big Bang Theory" (2007)

Julie Bowen for "Modern Family" (2009)

Kathryn Joosten for "Desperate Housewives" (2004)

Sofía Vergara for "Modern Family" (2009)

Merritt Wever for "Nurse Jackie" (2009)

Kristen Wiig for "Saturday Night Live" (1975)

SHOULD WIN - Mayim Bialik:  Her character could be considered a caricature, but she makes me laugh all the time

WILL WIN - Sophia Vergara: Julie Bowen already won.

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series

Nominees:

Christine Baranski for "The Good Wife" (2009)

Joanne Froggatt for "Downton Abbey" (2010)

Anna Gunn for "Breaking Bad" (2008)

Christina Hendricks for "Mad Men" (2007)

Archie Panjabi for "The Good Wife" (2009)

Maggie Smith for "Downton Abbey" (2010)

SHOULD WIN - Joanne Froggat: Her complete devotion and goodness is not easy to perform

WILL WIN - Maggie Smith: She is a classic.

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Miniseries or Movie

Nominees:

Frances Conroy for "American Horror Story: Asylum" (2011)

Judy Davis for Page Eight (2011) (TV)

Jessica Lange for "American Horror Story: Asylum" (2011)

Sarah Paulson for Game Change (2012) (TV)

Mare Winningham for "Hatfields & McCoys" (2012)

SHOULD WIN - Haven't seen any of them

WILL WIN - Sarah Paulson: Hollywood hates Sarah Palin

Outstanding Variety, Music Or Comedy Series

Nominees:

"The Colbert Report" (2005)

"The Daily Show with Jon Stewart" (1996)

"Jimmy Kimmel Live!" (2003)

"Late Night with Jimmy Fallon" (2009)

"Real Time with Bill Maher" (2003)

"Saturday Night Live" (1975)

SHOULD WIN - SNL: As good as it is bad, but can still deliver laughs.

WILL WIN - The Daily Show: Hollywood thinks Jon Stewart is a genius

Outstanding Reality Competition Program

Nominees:

"The Amazing Race" (2001)

"Dancing with the Stars" (2005/I)

"Project Runway" (2004)

"So You Think You Can Dance" (2005)

"Top Chef" (2006)

"The Voice" (2011)

SHOULD WIN - The Amazing Race:  Still the most compelling competition show around

WILL WIN - Project Runway:  Just a guess.

Outstanding Host for a Reality or Reality-Competition Program

Nominees:

Tom Bergeron for "Dancing with the Stars" (2005/I)

Cat Deeley for "So You Think You Can Dance" (2005)

Phil Keoghan for "The Amazing Race" (2001)

Ryan Seacrest for "American Idol" (2002)

Betty White for "Betty White's Off Their Rockers" (2012)

SHOULD WIN - Phil Keoghan:  Only show I watch

WILL WIN - Betty White: an excuse to give her an Emmy

Outstanding Directing for a Comedy Series

Nominees:

"Curb Your Enthusiasm" (2000): Robert B. Weide("Palestinian Chicken")

"Girls" (2012): Lena Dunham("She Did")

"Louie" (2010): Louis C.K.("Duckling")

"Modern Family" (2009): Jason Winer("Virgin Territory")

"Modern Family" (2009): Steven Levitan("Baby on Board")

"New Girl" (2011): Jake Kasdan("Pilot")

SHOULD WIN - New Girl

WILL WIN - Modern Family: Jason Winer

Outstanding Directing for a Drama Series

Nominees:

"Boardwalk Empire" (2010): Timothy Van Patten("To the Lost")

"Breaking Bad" (2008): Vince Gilligan("Face Off")

"Downton Abbey" (2010): Brian Percival("Episode 7")

"Homeland" (2011): Michael Cuesta("Pilot")

"Mad Men" (2007): Phil Abraham("The Other Woman")

SHOULD WIN -Downton Abbey

WILL WIN - Mad Men

Outstanding Directing for a Miniseries, Movie or a Dramatic Special

Nominees:

Game Change (2012) (TV): Jay Roach

"Hatfields & McCoys" (2012): Kevin Reynolds

Hemingway & Gellhorn (2012) (TV): Philip Kaufman

"Luther" (2010): Sam Miller

"Sherlock" (2010): Paul McGuigan

SHOULD WIN - Sherlock:  Because its awesome

WILL WIN -Game Change: Because Hollywood hates Sarah Palin

Outstanding Writing for a Comedy Series

Nominees:

"Community" (2009): Chris McKenna("Remedial Chaos Theory")

"Girls" (2012): Lena Dunham("Pilot")

"Louie" (2010): Louis C.K.("Pregnant")

"Parks and Recreation" (2009): Amy Poehler("The Debate")

"Parks and Recreation" (2009): Michael Schur("Win, Lose, or Draw")

SHOULD WIN - Community: One of the most creative and complicated scripts on TV

WILL WIN -Girls:  Critics love this show.

Outstanding Writing for a Drama Series

Nominees:

"Downton Abbey" (2010): Julian Fellowes("Episode 7")

"Homeland" (2011): Alex Gansa, Howard Gordon, Gideon Raff("Pilot")

"Mad Men" (2007): Semi Chellas, Matthew Weiner("The Other Woman")

"Mad Men" (2007): André Jacquemetton, Maria Jacquemetton("Commissions and Fees")

"Mad Men" (2007): Erin Levy, Matthew Weiner("Far Away Places")

SHOULD WIN - Downton Abbey: Consistently good.

WILL WIN - Any of the Mad Men

Outstanding Writing for a Miniseries, Movie or a Dramatic Special

Nominees:

Game Change (2012) (TV): Danny Strong

"Hatfields & McCoys" (2012): Ted Mann, Ronald Parker, Bill Kerby

"The Hour" (2011): Abi Morgan

"Luther" (2010): Neil Cross

"Sherlock" (2010): Steven Moffat

SHOULD WIN - Sherlock:  Because its awesome

WILL WIN - Game Change: Because Hollywood hates Sarah Palin

Now, keep in mind that my Emmy predictions are usually horribly wrong.  So we'll have fun seeing if I get anything right!

Thoughts?